From prices to the economy, hell Yihuo Heaven

 From prices to the economy, hell Yihuo heaven
mm reflection of China's economic development trends of the time Ice
primer

trip to the Caribbean, is destined to change my life as if into a mm species of the state of insight, so I am more deeply aware of the suffering of this nation, but also love this nation, but also to reflect more clearly than in the past the Chinese economy to the future.
three-dimensional rendering of a sudden everything seems.
I Many efforts will interpret and analyze economic problems, to try to find the closest real answer.
2008 end of the year, China issued a series of economic policy, which stems from the understanding of economic trends and judgments? housing market, the stock market going? support China's economic power in the end is what? How will the outcome of the economic gamble? China's drought, the Americans vigorously Why hoard oil hh
pen to paper before I put Bob Marley song into the sohu blog (return home, spend 40 dollars to buy the DVD with a Bob Marley album), eyes full of tears I could hear, could not help sobbing hh
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pour over the world, most of the country's economy decision-making process is transparent, the economic decision-making process is the result of game interests of all parties, and as the population of the main demands of the general population's interest, through its elected members and other political representatives, to be fully expressed and reflected in the vote on links .
this decision, the majority of people maximum to ensure interests are protected and respected, reflected in the form of economic operation, and with our words, not save the speculative real estate speculators, is also rooted in this.
historical materialism that the nature of the superstructure is determined by the nature of the economic base, and the nature of the economic base is again dominated by the production of which determined by the nature of the relationship. In the past, the definition of the dogma of no feeling, and now suddenly wake up to the original, this boring in the end contains the definition of what is, but also with the interests of the people have to do.
economic phenomena never been isolated, it is a variety of interest groups (the general public is also self-interest groups) game results. in a student, I had decided to Western democracy but propaganda convinced the money, and now I know, I ignore Election of money flow out where the money in the end of the root factors. When I know where the different political parties of candidates, in order to curry favor with the public, competing in the huge investment of public facilities and to the public issued by the refrigerator, air tickets, etc. is real In the or lasting harm to people's livelihood? public powers have been used sometimes, but that such use is likely due to the arrival of the next election is terminated, so he must converge!
This is a benign self-correction mechanism.
I found that people's livelihood, I suggest the people rich, in fact, there is not an economic issue. The housing problem is not. I used to be a fool mm is now, or not staying up late to write this thankless public service article. re-emphasized: writing this article is based upon a citizen's most basic responsibility, out of this pool of love for the suffering of the nation, is also based on my grandfather's grave promise.
(a) of the gamble 2009
trend of globalization, like China, it is extremely high dependence on foreign economies, is not an isolated development. However, the operation of the policy makers accustomed to generous, wonderful on the outcome of China's first convinced of the recovery . In the eyes of many, 2009 will be the most difficult one, survive the year, everything is well. Therefore, when the Indian summer shape, no doubt confident predictions than gold, there will be any major flaws.
From an economic point of view, gold important than confidence.
gold like wealth, social security and employment opportunities, is the survival and development of real resources, with these, you naturally have a strong enough faith. confidence stems from the existence and development resources, and no accumulation of wealth, no social security, no job opportunities in the state, even if you can no faith in the birth, it is difficult to sustain. particularly in the enormous pressure to survive in today's China, People need confidence, but also need support, confidence in the economic foundation of the breeding mm objects look you are looking for a room no room today, no confidence in the students ignored the basic national conditions, not real logic.
faith is not called out is the natural born.
, I noticed that after the crisis, all countries in the world, are tax cuts: on the personal tax cuts, let have more money to combat the crisis; of enterprises tax cuts that have had through the difficult, access to a valuable opportunity for survival and development, continue to provide employment opportunities for the most important thing.
This is to help people and businesses, the breeding of the most important prerequisite for confidence.
my attention that not a single country trifles, or poles apart, maintaining the same amount of tax exemption, or at dumping a single country, to maintain high prices, and no economy, the government hand surgeon, desperate for the stock market speculation manufacturing subjects. more no country, led to inefficient state-owned monopoly expansion compression more efficient, dynamic private enterprises in the living space. In a sense, the future of private enterprise, is a very smooth economy The final decision over who the economic crisis.
because people and businesses to survive, is the fundamental crisis is top priority. This is truly to promote the healthy development of the economy the most powerful sources of power. With people and businesses accumulation of wealth, house prices, stock market, all in all, will be ripe.
fall in house prices is a bubble extrusion process. When the house fell to the relative purchasing power of people connected with the degree of turnover will naturally activated, and if artificially maintain high prices, trading volume in the doldrums, its stimulating effect on related industries but will be suppressed. or volume in the high prices being activated by means of deception, leaving the issue of public spending in the housing high cost of money in other areas of spending, it will also suppress domestic demand, limiting economic development.
This is a simple common sense could not be more simple.
what's due to what kind of fruit must be .
is the belief that would be able to achieve victory in the war as a whole. understand this, not difficult to understand, since September 2008, China has a series of policies to stimulate the economy, in the end what is around the start, why are those manifestations, root of the.
survived since 2009, then all is well. Well, bailout policies tend to fall into a gamble, gambling than in 2009, ushered in a new life. Thus, economic policy has become simpler, preferred capital injection:
1 year, 1.62 trillion yuan of new loans, an increase of 103%; February, new loans, 1.07 trillion yuan, up 24.17%; March, 1.89 trillion yuan of new loans, an increase of 667.97% (the three months to complete join together to 4.58 trillion yuan mm2008 completed one year of incremental credit in 2009, only a quarter to complete); 591.8 billion in new loans in April, 4639 with the same period in 2008 billion, an increase of 27.57%.
bailout policies evolved into a true sense of the economic gamble, gambling money is a country's economy.
I saw the news reports such as this there: , the central bank in charge of major banks to convene a meeting of executives of credit. central bank deputy governor in charge of monetary policy stance at the meeting Yi Gang, from November 2008 has been rapid credit growth pros and cons, but ;. He stressed that the scale of the central bank will not pursue the credit limit. In many companies are forced to resort to loan sharks due to shortage of funds, resulting in 67,000 enterprises were killed under the circumstances, the central bank holding Bu Songshou severe tightening of monetary policy, credit crunch, such as gold, in many enterprises, especially private enterprises after the collapse of These funds fall like rain and drifting, bank loans in order to complete the task, to find that company put loans, despite knowing that the deterioration in the investment environment, these funds will flow to the stock market, property market, vigorous still running.
Curse the RMB.
economic policy has always been a chain reaction as a whole. We have considered the consequences of doing do?
drought late last year, I asserted in a speech a few times: The United States will be hoarding large quantities of oil. suddenly increased to 3.1983 million barrels of barrels, as of early February this year, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories reached an alarming 3.5 million barrels, more than 7 billion barrels of strategic oil reserves, in addition to the size of the major U.S. oil tankers loading crude oil There are more than 8,000 barrels a day. subtly, in February of this year, oil prices fell below 34 dollars a barrel.
Afterward, arid rain, the U.S. store growth trends of oil, however, only Karma. both time points meet perfectly.
I am not a conspiracy theorist, but we can not deny, in globalization, economic war has been going on.
the middle in the end this is how the link?
(b) playing with fire are easy to burn the body
for the U.S. dollar, in my , have done some analysis. It is also my
economic phenomenon has always been closely linked.
in the me, for 140 dollars a barrel in oil prices, I assert that oil prices will fall part of the analysis process. Now go back to the last year, the recovery of consciousness is still under major powers collide with the United States, Russia, is not it already died down?
economic fight is better than all modern weapons.
and China is under their own sets on the gallows, or heaven, or into hell, the economy went today, China has chosen you?
to a certain when there is no choice but wait for someone else's decision, this is the most fatal.
my will exceed the capacity of almost all economies, inflation, the most vulnerable will continue to perform in China, ), China's fundamental problem is that insufficient consumption, and a massive investment program and export tax rebates, investment and exports continue to strengthen, making China's economic structure is more deformed. Visiting Nobel laureate U.S. economist Paul . Paul Krugman gently pointed out that: a relative poverty in the developing countries of the world output of so many resources are
4 ���� salvation plan, making China is short of money to invest in infrastructure projects require more than mm the bearing capacity of the Government large sums of money, make money through the stock market is a shortcut. Therefore, only this wave of rising stock market. I article in early February pointed out that . a principle, from the interests of the analysis point of view, is to let the people had caught (at least most people) some sort of relief for the upper limit. So I had to judge the stock 7 percent (excluding the heavyweight resource stocks and ) are periodic signs of peaking, today I looked at the data, in addition to heavyweights, more than 7 percent of the stock adjustment, and I had to judge exactly consistent. The heavyweight rise, making the subject shares for about twice the profit recovery, get the best cover. The market frenzy has reached a big mouth to eat meat but also of vested interests the point where peace of mind, all the risks are being ignored. in the index and not to make money or earn money in case reproduction is difficult , think of 2007 and after 8,9 month the stock market trend bar.
Now, back to the topic, let me to answer, to hoard oil in Arid and why the United States.
benefit analysis is to simplify, of anything easy methods of analysis, the key is to find the connection point. Well, the connection point where?
China's reform and opening up the four most serious inflation, respectively, occurred in 1984,1987,1994 and 2007. four times Inflation is rising food prices earlier, drought will become lit the fuse of inflation.
flame once ignited, China can cope with it? during the two sessions in 2008, the CPPCC National Committee, the Chinese Academy of Engineering, Yuan Longping said: granary is empty. For example, April 7, 2008, media reports said, Maanshan a storage central, provincial and municipal grain reserves with a total capacity of about 8 million tons of grain storage, , and not a single grain. Premier Zhu Rongji said at a press conference saying: adjustable.
ago, China began to investigate the problem granary stocks, showing the upper began to alert on this issue.
funded by developers such as Mao Yushi, an economist, advocated giving up 18 million acres of red to cater to the interests of developers and other vested interests, in the end what will lead to serious consequences, and not self evident.
Clearly, as long as the drought prone to inflation in China, the United States speculators will drive up oil prices, but also more likely to drive up China's arid help them skillfully deflected the process. Then, in order to start, pull resources prices, inflation in the Chinese input, the fragile economies of China (because people are poor, middle class, the absence of wealth and resources on power and wealth, high dependence on foreign, the absence of social security and appears extremely weak) to be under the control of inflation, collapse!
I again emphasize, as low oil prices hurt the United States, like Russia, this is not conspiracy, everything is carried out in the sun. nobody is to blame those in power turn a blind eye. Perhaps, the U.S. businessmen who hoard oil, just to see drought-induced inflation, increasing the probability of approaching and inflation, more interest can be map, but the objective has greatly increased the lead to the collapse of the probability of an economy.
China's decision-making, having been kidnapped developers and local governments, outlaws the day camel tilt amount of funds, after the drought which is the second another great weakness exposed.
early March of this year, with a few I talk Securities analyst, said that if March, April loans continued to grow, international oil prices could top $ 60, to reach 60-70 U.S. dollars range. If this is not what the United States during the Russian excesses (in Russian leader's wisdom, they will keeping a low profile, never hat and no cattle), while the vulnerable side of China's economy more and more obvious the United States could quickly pulled oil prices above $ 70, or even break $ 100 again. Now, the arrival of swine flu, once again laid a terrible hint to speed up the oil prices the way.
This is the middle What contact?
all these dangers, the power holders are narrow and selfish mentality to ignore.
China's pig farmers, in the face of huge losses, the Government does not promptly and vigorously rescue. meat prices rise and food prices, is a role with the sexual!
cries when the peasants who were slaughtered sow losses in 2007, meat prices soared in the scene will show, the difference is The amount of money China has put the day into the market, the U.S. crude oil has been hoarding good! Obama no loss is elected President of the United States, the wisdom of the leaders, took office continue to vigorously support the development of new energy sources, especially bio-energy, playing Well, the noose harder.
I previously wrote that the U.S. development of bio-energy is the double-edged sword. The United States is the world's leading grain producer and exporter, which yield 42.7% of world's total corn production 34.4%, 11.6% wheat production, exports account for half of global food exports, food prices it is the most direct beneficiaries, and to vigorously promote the development of bio-fuels is the main driving force behind rising food prices. food prices can be windfall profits to the United States. While exports of food may reduce, but the price increase, equal to the world's biofuel plan for the United States pay!
other hand, the United States to reduce dependence on oil could be more handy fighting oil wars.
Therefore, well-known international geopolitical and economist William. En Doyle sharply pointed out: > Drought Although passed to the swine flu, the Chinese had sold at a large number of resources such as gold, while strongly encouraging the development of China's automobile industry, has released a flood of funds prop up the housing prices, and some vested interests Group has climb down, China is stuck in the inflation itself on the gallows! I again assert that the future of this inflation will be the most serious since the founding of inflation, is a burning fire, when the decision-making were carried away when playing with fire, under the warm Indian summer may still be
(c) at what is behind the
2008 mortgage, the house prices fall, so many developers complain incessantly, some developers began to prepare price houses, but the developer's price cuts by local governments to block . They cut prices to punish the developer, the developer of some of the sales price smashed the Ministry of Local Government hh local governments turn a blind eye to protect their own interests account for the developer side of the firm. They passed back to, delay the payment of land transfer , tax charges various means to prop up prices. The amount of loans for days, and ultimately withdraw its role to help developers complete. high-sounding reasons: the real estate industry involves more than 60 industries, real estate, down, right China's economy is a fatal injury.
I had this lies have been repeatedly criticized.
many real estate development company itself has power back, and some officials of the shares, and some officials, is the developer of the children, and , falling land prices caused by falling house prices will not only affect local government revenue, but also the promotion of local officials (GDP is an important assessment index).
Therefore, whether in public and in private, officials are desperately care prices, while loan threshold amount of days to relax and release of loan funds, a developer of life-saving straw.
to the world is concerned, no economy, continuation of the economic crisis is still in the process of separating not only the financial and real estate as soon as possible contact, but in fact, when the price is still high, the credit funds into the tiger's mouth, so that real estate and financial institutions to more closely link! this unique phenomenon, it is powerful economy, economic services for the small number of vested interests the inevitable result.
think the future of the national economy, the hearts can not hurt!
off the mortgage is inevitable.
only on May 13 as an example of two news reports:
First < br> Title: Wuxi developers cheat fake mortgage loans are 500 million disappeared on May 13 mm2009 Wuxi Daily
content:
to be financing a real estate developer in the tin purchase by individuals developed 16 sets of housing as collateral to apply for housing mortgage loans, and willed the 16 sets of mortgage housing for sale to others, and mysterious disappearance. reporter recently learned that the court case has been transferred to public security departments Sung . It is understood that as a real estate development company in Wuxi, general manager, Xu has luxury cars, it is the scenery in front of people. However, the recent downturn as the real estate market, Xu's company is facing increasingly serious shortage of funds. In order to maintain normal production and operation of the company, Xu repeatedly defy the law, the use of ex-wife, lover's identity card, take the name of others, forged the sale of housing as collateral, cash in bank mortgage loans owned companies. After repeatedly succeeded , Xu emboldened, and later bought the company with individual development of 16 houses, and thus to obtain bank loans to 5.05 million mortgage. about 60 million in repayment of the principal, the Xu to real estate companies mortgage loans on behalf of the 16 sets of low-cost housing for sale to others, and in a few months after the mysterious disappearance. until the door to bank debt only to find scam shaking director Xu.
second
Title: Check-out looming wave of false mortgage banking risk prevention mechanism to be complete on May 13 mm2009 China Securities Journal
excerpt:
in the first quarter, the Beijing �ڷ� check out the high rate.
species diversity. the availability of those fancy house, the developer then check out process by Forward House, out to these houses and then sell the house to buyers.
the situation is more serious fraud. False mortgage loan, means the commercial banks by the developers, non-payment of loan principal and the real long-term real estate secured loans are not implemented. , desperate to leave the mortgage fraud and other illegal ways to bank loans, the use of check-out were not timely to reclaim their identity and the housing loan contracts signed, and the power of attorney authorized by the developer for loans to banks for loans, or the development of collusion with certain natural business bank loan fraud. Since buyers will purchase the borrower's true, the repayment of capital mainly from real estate developers, so, once the real estate developers in the cash-flow problems, resulting to there will be outages, generating a direct result of the dispute.
the end of April this year, involving fake apartment mortgage case verdict Sen Ho announced apartment owners Zou Qing Hao Sen directed the development of the company staff fictional apartment real estate sales Mori ho facts, taken with the purchase of real estate sales contracts were signed false, false proof of income for the buyers, the first material proof of payment such as loans, and buyers who signed on behalf of individuals with the Bank of China Beijing Branch, apply for mortgage loans mortgage loan contract means , fraudulently obtained mortgage loans large personal 7.5 billion. Public Prosecution that the arrival of Beijing Hua Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. and 5 people's behavior constitutes fraud.
One reason for the increase in such cases. certificates, credit review a mere formality.
developers have the power of mortgage fraud, the banks and then
railways, steel, petroleum, high-tech industry a pillar industry in the UK
: media, finance, services
a pillar industry in Japan: industry, fishing, automobile manufacturing, high-tech industries, the sex industry
Switzerland's pillar industries: financial services, insurance, precision machinery manufacturing
Korea pillar industries: semiconductors, shipbuilding, automobiles, home appliances, petrochemicals
Australia's pillar industries: livestock, agriculture, mining, machinery and equipment , metal products, tobacco, oil and coal, chemical
Russia's pillar industries: military, oil and gas, timber
pillar industries of our country: to go online a check is actually full screen real estate.'re really unique ! It shows that we Chinese people built the house is good, selling is good, to create the maximum profits!
Chinese homes: all ages, to facilitate collection and investment appreciation, unlimited potential. the real estate industry as a national production backbone of the economy is booming and development is undoubtedly its way to open the first of its kind in the world and the times!
foreign people who rack their brains to dig around, at the cost of the high-paying high-tech talent around the world have come to do the recruitment of chips, cars, financial, services, and so the industry to make money.
we dug in the ground to build a house east west dig, the recruitment of migrant workers, low cost, but also in arrears; also sold out the house than they make money. you keep the computer chip prices drop I have kept up the house; foreign Zhuer richest man is like stocks and software, automotive, retail hh so the industry; we are the country's richest real estate exclusively.
a result, we can believe: As the pillar industry of China will certainly live up to expectations mm real estate, real estate will create the miracle of China's economic take off again, will enhance China's comprehensive national strength, and will rise again to achieve the Chinese nation, will in the Divine Land Once again, the peak and prosperity; the rapid development of China's real estate industry, will make the real estate industry not only as the backbone of our economy in the near future, will change the world economic landscape. If the eighteenth century, set off from Britain's industrial Revolution changed the course of world history, the development of the whole enormous impact on human society, so far-reaching. So, China's real estate industry will create even greater glory, but enough to make people around the world forget the impact of the Industrial Revolution.
By then, China's real estate industry will shake the world; thumbs countries people will praise: buy, trouble! Well now, with China's housing industry, a roof over five sets, you want to buy into China, a house built in the cap, residential and commercial, not some doing! appreciation, but also affordable! ; your investment is still to not worry about it? to buy a house, I see the line! but never as a country to the real estate industry a pillar industry for economic development, outrageous is that many people think of us here are real estate construction also go to the parasitic series of real estate! funny if this!
real estate What developers? in my earlier article, repeatedly stressed: the vast majority of our developers are not building their own, it will not build your house. the real estate industry chain in China, planning to do by the relevant government departments, the design by the design unit is responsible for housing construction by the construction companies, developers only play the He left behind a bag company, this scene in other industries are almost invisible. Advancer for developers to build a house builder, and then, the wage arrears of construction enterprises, migrant workers and the wage arrears problem arises come. Clearly, in our country, many being touted as a star developers (the world no such anomalies except China), but a speculative market skills of the believers who, through the purchase of high diploma, or fed professional writers, weaving sophistry heresy, since the pretentious, deceive the public.
is such a whore as the industry, was surprised to be unprecedented as a pillar industry, and is a and, the monopoly of the industry is increasingly being strengthened.
I before 2008, along with many people of insight, many calls to build low-rent housing to solve housing problems of the poor. the powerful economies, The most feared power of the poor, policy makers, because it is the most likely threat to stability in the community rose up in rebellion, therefore, low-rent housing problem was taken seriously mm will certainly be taken seriously.
real housing problem in China, is the huge problem of the sandwich layer . leaving no chance to enjoy both a large low-cost housing and can not afford housing groups, developers and other vested interests to accept the exploitation, it is to maintain high prices in China the source of the mortgage made by some of the sandwich mm layer gradually reduced to room slaves to prop up the price! train a number of food group!
This is the ultimate driving force supporting China's housing prices.
because the Chinese have all the rich houses, and not just a housing, and strengthen the housing market monopoly, so the sandwich layer become the wanton looting of the Lamb, is the only way to maintain high prices.
in the world economic crisis due to falling housing prices, only in China, due to strong powers Resources and profiteers of the marriage, completed a game trying to Nongjiachengzhen rising house prices. only I do not know, this practice in the slaughter of the people, their blood wantonly booze, but also the Chinese economy to the cliff edge.
(V) I drive the sheep into the jaws of death
many times previously that the author pointed out: China is to solve the huge housing problems of the sandwich layer, first of all put from the housing first. China's vast rural population, it is out of place in the government, Farmers bear the construction cost of the model, per capita income of less than one-third of urban residents on their own to solve the housing problem. the government as long as the land on the line, not the government spend a penny, a huge housing problem can be solved (the construction cost In the small proportion of housing prices, such as Beijing and Shanghai to sell thirty thousand per square meter, fifty thousand houses, many of the construction cost no more than 2 thousand or so). Since the building is like free love on the dating agency, housewives cook their own food on competition in the hotel, as relations with developers to compete, driving down prices. in the city, since housing often reflected in the form of cooperative housing. and do not want their own homes by the government instead of the developer, brokered service role to help build affordable housing residents.
This is not a return to the planned economy model, but to return to people's livelihood and housing patterns, that is, affordable housing since the housing + (sandwich layer) + low-cost housing (poor) + real estate (rich) solution model, since the relationship between housing and commercial competition, it is the market economy to solve the housing problem under the pattern of the normal choice. As for affordable housing, through publicity, the power to mobilize the whole society oversight, mandatory area, is can promote the true face of the return of affordable housing.
However, all vested interests are doing everything possible strangulation of affordable housing ...